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Nick Gerhli - Biggest Housing Bubble in US History

A friendly reminder that we are in the biggest housing bubble of all-time.

Inflation-adjusted home prices today are almost 100% higher than the long-term, 130-year average.

Only 2x in US history where this has ever happened: 2006 and right now.

Note how from 1890 to 2000,… pic.twitter.com/Ll0NL4wVhP
— Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) August 26, 2024

Sunday, March 16, 2025

DEI Housing Cutbacks

Trump DEI Purge Hits Affordable Housing Groups
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-11/doge-cuts-contracts-to-affordable-housing-groups-who-mention-dei-words

Posted by Dwyer at 10:31 AM

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Home Ownership Affordability Monitor - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - FRB Atlanta

HOAM: Housing Affordability Improves - 2/23/2024
Home Ownership Affordability Declines by Record Levels - 7/11/2022
Home Ownership Affordability Falls 11.5 Percent - 11/18/2021
Home Price Growth Eases but Still Hurts Affordability - 10/8/2021
HOAM Update: Median-Income Buyers Priced Out - 9/9/2021

Home Ownership Affordability Monitor

Atlanta stamped unaffordable. Here's a nonprofit helping people who are being priced out. - 11Alive.com WXIA - 8/30/2024
You're not imagining it: Home ownership has become “unaffordable ... - WSB Atlanta - 4/3/2022
You’re not imagining it: Home ownership has become “unaffordable” in Atlanta - WSB Atlanta - 4/3/2022
You’re not imagining it: Home ownership has become “unaffordable” in Atlanta - WSB Radio - 4/3/2022

Housing market prices per median income

Las Vegas Valley home prices broke a record in January - Las Vegas Review-Journal - 2/6/2025
Typical homebuyers in Los Angeles, San Francisco and San Diego spend up to 78% of income on housing - CNBC - 2/9/2025
Income Limits - HUD User - 9/30/2015
Australian Property Market: Growth Phase Losing Steam - Forbes - 12/1/2024
Typical homebuyers in Los Angeles, San Francisco and San Diego spend up to 78% of income on housing - CNBC - 2/9/2025

housing market news for oregon

Central Oregon Market Report | February 19, 2025 - substack.com - 2/19/2025
Central Oregon Market Report | January 29, 2025 - substack.com - 1/29/2025
Bend's median home prices jump to $800,000 - The Bulletin - 11/9/2024
Buying a house in 2025? What you need to know - OregonLive - 2/1/2025
How Portland’s middle housing initiative is faring - Oregon Public Broadcasting - 2/5/2025

housing market news for arizona

Arizona Voters Fed Up with Soaring Housing Costs - Noble Predictive Insights - 3/4/2025
More than 1 in 4 people thinking of leaving Arizona over housing costs - Phoenix New Times - 3/12/2025
How Trump's tariffs will impact lumber prices and the housing market - FOX 10 News Phoenix - 3/6/2025
Gov. Hobbs, Valley leaders praise opening of new affordable housing in Phoenix - Arizona's Family - 5/1/2024
‘Starter Homes Act’ could allow smaller, more affordable housing in Arizona - Arizona Capitol Times - 3/7/2025

housing market news for las vegas

Nevada, Florida lead in housing price growth powered by sports and tourism - News3LV - 3/26/2024
Low supply, high mortgage rates strangling Las Vegas real estate market - Las Vegas Review-Journal - 2/27/2024
Report: Las Vegas one of the least affordable housing markets in the country - Las Vegas Review-Journal - 12/12/2024
Las Vegas home prices jump to close out 2019 - News3LV - 1/7/2020
Las Vegas area housing market still shows strength - News3LV - 7/7/2021

housing market news for texas

Will a 'silver tsunami' impact the housing market in S.A.? - mySA - 12/16/2024
Housing Market Predictions For 2025 - Bankrate.com - 2/27/2025
Report: Texas is building more new homes than any other state - The Center Square - 2/11/2025
Bee County housing market for February shows sharp decline in sales, prices adjusting - SouthTexasNews.com - 3/14/2025
Texas housing crisis: Lawmakers push for solutions as rising housing cost fuels statewide crisis - ABC13 Houston - 3/10/2025

oftwominds

Roaring 20s or Great Depression 2.0? - 3/13/2025
Going Cold Turkey in our Addiction Economy - 3/10/2025
The Stoicism of the Caregiver - 3/5/2025
If We Set Aside Ideology, Is There Anything We Can Agree On? - 3/3/2025
Three Ways to Restore Housing Affordability - 2/28/2025

Housing Market News

China Home Prices Fall at Faster Pace Despite Revival Efforts - Bloomberg - 3/17/2025
China’s balancing act: Stimulus hopes vs. housing market reality check - FXStreet - 3/17/2025
ZENITH ZORO(@CryptoMystique)'s insights - Binance - 3/17/2025
Shenzhen Eases Housing Loan Rules To Boost Market - Evrim Ağacı - 3/17/2025
Total value of the UK housing market up 6.3% last year - MSN - 3/17/2025

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housing market news for idaho

Idaho Housing Affordability in 2025: High Prices and Tight Supply Test Buyers - NewsBreak - 3/9/2025
Idaho’s housing resources positively impact our community’s quality of life - Idaho Capital Sun - 9/26/2022
Marco Santarelli - Norada Real Estate Investments - 3/2/2025
Will L.A. residents flock to Boise after fires? Will housing prices spike? What agents say - AOL - 2/28/2025
How Stable Is Idaho's Housing Market? - KMVU Fox 26 Medford - 2/28/2025

housing market news for florida

Not just condos: Florida’s housing market is softening, especially along the southwest coast - Yahoo Finance - 3/15/2025
California, Illinois, Florida and New York City Area Lead Housing Markets Facing Greater Risk of Downturns - ATTOM Data Solutions - 3/6/2025
South Florida’s housing market cooling down as number of listed homes keeps rising - South Florida Sun Sentinel - 3/13/2025
4 Florida Housing Markets That Have Plummeted in Value Over the Past Decade - Yahoo Finance - 1/15/2025
Housing Downturn Alarm Raised for US Cities - Newsweek - 3/12/2025

housing market news for new york city

Trump’s housing market conundrum - CNN International - 1/6/2025
The Right to Build: How Property Rights Can Solve the Housing Crisis - Pacific Legal Foundation (PLF) - 11/25/2024
Living in New York City Just Got More Expensive as Average Rent Prices Jump 5.6%— Here's What You're Getting - Realtor.com News - 1/21/2025
California, Illinois, Florida and New York City Area Lead Housing Markets Facing Greater Risk of Downturns - ATTOM Data Solutions - 3/6/2025
OneKey® MLS Reports Strong Housing Market for High-Value Transactions in New York - RisMedia.com - 12/23/2024

housing market news in california

California housing market closes the year strong despite challenges - Mountain Democrat - 1/24/2025
California is No. 3 for home-price volatility - Redlands Daily Facts - 2/27/2025
California is 3rd-craziest housing market in the nation - Inland Valley Daily Bulletin - 2/27/2025
28 housing markets where home prices are falling - ResiClub - 12/27/2024
Housing Downturn Alarm Raised for US Cities - Newsweek - 3/12/2025

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Paper Economy - A US Real Estate Bubble Blog

Ruin-Nation - 9/28/2023
Not the Right Man for the Job - 2/13/2023
Time to "Rightsize" the Economy for a Reality-based Future - 11/28/2022
The Fed's Overreaction and Inaction - 10/17/2022
FHFA Purchase Only House Price Index – What Goes Up, Must Come Down - 8/30/2022

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