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Nick Gerhli - Biggest Housing Bubble in US History

A friendly reminder that we are in the biggest housing bubble of all-time.

Inflation-adjusted home prices today are almost 100% higher than the long-term, 130-year average.

Only 2x in US history where this has ever happened: 2006 and right now.

Note how from 1890 to 2000,… pic.twitter.com/Ll0NL4wVhP
— Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) August 26, 2024

Thursday, May 15, 2014

7 places where home prices are falling - MarketWatch

7 places where home prices are falling - MarketWatch

Posted by Dwyer at 12:45 PM No comments:

A Senate Battle Over Mortgage Rules - NYTimes.com

A Senate Battle Over Mortgage Rules - NYTimes.com

Posted by Dwyer at 12:18 PM No comments:

April home prices in Bay Area hit 7-year high - San Jose Mercury News

April home prices in Bay Area hit 7-year high - San Jose Mercury News

Posted by Dwyer at 12:16 PM No comments:

Only highest-income consumers cut their view for housing appreciation - Capitol Report - MarketWatch

Only highest-income consumers cut their view for housing appreciation - Capitol Report - MarketWatch

Posted by Dwyer at 12:15 PM No comments:

Are Bay Area Rental Prices At All-Time Highs? | NBC Bay Area

Are Bay Area Rental Prices At All-Time Highs? | NBC Bay Area

Posted by Dwyer at 12:14 PM No comments:

The New Math of Renting vs. Buying - WSJ.com

The New Math of Renting vs. Buying - WSJ.com

Posted by Dwyer at 12:12 PM No comments:

Fixed mortgage rates decline for third straight week

Fixed mortgage rates decline for third straight week

Posted by Dwyer at 12:11 PM No comments:

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Home Ownership Affordability Monitor - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - FRB Atlanta

HOAM: Housing Affordability Improves - 2/23/2024
Home Ownership Affordability Declines by Record Levels - 7/11/2022
Home Ownership Affordability Falls 11.5 Percent - 11/18/2021
Home Price Growth Eases but Still Hurts Affordability - 10/8/2021
HOAM Update: Median-Income Buyers Priced Out - 9/9/2021

Home Ownership Affordability Monitor

Atlanta stamped unaffordable. Here's a nonprofit helping people who are being priced out. - 11Alive.com WXIA - 8/30/2024
You're not imagining it: Home ownership has become “unaffordable ... - WSB Atlanta - 4/3/2022
You’re not imagining it: Home ownership has become “unaffordable” in Atlanta - WSB Atlanta - 4/3/2022
You’re not imagining it: Home ownership has become “unaffordable” in Atlanta - WSB Radio - 4/3/2022

Housing market prices per median income

The city that saw median house prices jump by $273,000 in a month - Stuff - 3/11/2021
Australia’s median home value has increased by about $230,000 in past five years, data shows - The Guardian - 4/8/2025
Gold Coast is now Australia's second most expensive property market - Australian Property Update - 8/23/2024
The Cheapest and Most Expensive Places to Buy a House in Illinois - 24/7 Wall St. - 3/28/2024
90% of housing is unaffordable for average Australians - Firstlinks - 11/27/2024

housing market news for oregon

Housing Market 2024: Home Prices Are Plummeting in 10 Formerly Overpriced Housing Markets - GOBankingRates - 7/21/2024
Portland average home price bolts to $542,000: ‘Influx is greater than the exodus’ - OregonLive.com - 3/17/2021
One of the City’s Largest Affordable Housing Developers Prepares to Sell 80 of Its Homes to an Unknown Buyer - Willamette Week - 3/25/2025
Oregon Real Estate Commissions: What You Can Expect in 2024 - Redfin - 9/30/2024
Portland's Neighborhoods by the Numbers | Real Estate Market 2024 - Portland Monthly - 5/18/2023

housing market news for arizona

The 7 biggest housing myths in Phoenix — debunked! - AZ Big Media - 4/11/2025
7 Housing Market Predictions for Arizona Over the Next 5 Years, According to Real Estate Agents - GOBankingRates - 7/27/2024
Where ranks Phoenix among 50 worst housing markets in U.S. - AZ Big Media - 8/8/2024
Tucson home prices down slightly as market shows signs of cooling. - AZPM - 2/28/2025
5 Housing Markets That Will Plummet in Value Before the End of 2025 - GOBankingRates - 1/16/2025

housing market news for las vegas

Las Vegas Housing Market Skyrockets: Home Prices Surge Amid Plummeting Sales and Rising Cash Deals - CTOL Digital Solutions - 7/11/2024
Las Vegas Real Estate Ranks #1 in Luxury Investments Heading into 2025 Sites LasVegasRealEstate.Org - PRUnderground - 1/24/2025
EDITORIAL: Dear Trump administration: Las Vegas is ready to build - Las Vegas Review-Journal - 3/19/2025
Trump’s tariffs already hitting Las Vegas Valley’s real estate industry - Las Vegas Review-Journal - 4/1/2025
Gambling on Las Vegas? Sin City Housing Market Softens as It Suffers Affordability Crisis - Yahoo - 3/7/2025

housing market news for texas

These 42 housing markets are seeing falling home prices - ResiClub - 4/4/2025
Shadow Inventory of Vacant Homes Suddenly Piles on the Market in Texas. New Listings, Active Listings Spike to Highest for March in Many Years - Wolf Street - 4/9/2025
This interactive housing market map shows where sellers—and buyers—have the most power right now - ResiClub - 3/24/2025
AI Boom Could Spark a Land Rush in Texas—and Drive Up Demand for Homes - Realtor.com - 3/14/2025
DFW Housing Market Shows Signs Of Slowdown As New Home Sales And Prices Begin To Flatten - Dallas Express - 3/27/2025

oftwominds

Last Gasp of the Landfill Economy - 4/10/2025
A Decade of Headwinds - 4/9/2025
The Financial Kessler Effect - 4/7/2025
After the Tariff Earthquake - 4/4/2025
The Global Trade Game: Jokers Are Wild - 4/2/2025

Housing Market News

Uncertainty looms after a more stable D.C.-area housing market in 2024 - The Washington Post - 4/12/2025
Bonus episode: Unpacking housing market uncertainty with Ivy Zelman, Logan Mohtashami and Dale Wettlaufer - HousingWire - 4/12/2025
2025 Housing Market by State: Where Prices Rose the Most and Least - Fingerlakes1.com - 4/12/2025
Is It Smart to Buy a House Right Now? Here’s What the 2025 Housing Market Tells Us - Fingerlakes1.com - 4/12/2025
CA sees highest home sales in years as market rebounds. What’s behind the surge? - Sacramento Bee - 4/11/2025

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housing market news for idaho

Growing Idaho- Is the housing market normalizing? - KTVB - 4/8/2025
Opinion: Proposed housing workgroup could address Idaho’s housing attainability crisis - Idaho State Journal - 2/14/2025
Housing trend finally breaks: Boise-area home prices drop for first time in 15 months - Idaho Statesman - 9/9/2021
Growing Idaho: How affordable are apartments for minimum wage earners? - KTVB - 3/25/2025
Lakeside Idaho City Is America’s Hottest Housing Market in New WSJ/Realtor.com Index - WSJ - 4/27/2021

housing market news for florida

South Florida’s housing market cooling down as number of listed homes keeps rising - Yahoo - 3/13/2025
Warnings of a sharp drop in housing prices and sales in Florida: Causes and immediate outlook - CiberCuba - 3/25/2025
55+ Housing Market Trends: Prices Surge in Northeast, Fall in Florida - TradingView - 4/10/2025
55+ Housing Market Trends: Prices Surge in Northeast, Fall in Florida - Bluefield Daily Telegraph - 4/10/2025
New Florida Bill Looks to Tackle Affordable Housing Crisis - Newsweek - 3/31/2025

housing market news for new york city

Uncertainty looms over US housing market in wake of Trump tariffs - ABC News - 4/9/2025
Housing Market Gets Warning Despite 'Win' on Trump Tariffs - Newsweek - 4/7/2025
Strong local economies help power home price increases in NYC, Las Vegas - marketplace.org - 9/24/2024
What election promises on housing would mean for Toronto and the GTA - CBC - 4/11/2025
The 300-Day-Old Listings Suddenly Seeing Bidding Wars - Curbed - 4/7/2025

housing market news in california

California is No. 3 for home-price volatility - San Diego Union-Tribune - 2/27/2025
CA sees highest home sales in years as market rebounds. What’s behind the surge? - Sacramento Bee - 4/11/2025
Why stock market turmoil is bad for California home prices - Orange County Register - 4/10/2025
Why stock market turmoil is bad for California home prices - The Mercury News - 4/10/2025
Why stock market turmoil is bad for California home prices - Daily Breeze - 4/10/2025

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Dwyer
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Paper Economy - A US Real Estate Bubble Blog

Ruin-Nation - 9/28/2023
Not the Right Man for the Job - 2/13/2023
Time to "Rightsize" the Economy for a Reality-based Future - 11/28/2022
The Fed's Overreaction and Inaction - 10/17/2022
FHFA Purchase Only House Price Index – What Goes Up, Must Come Down - 8/30/2022

Popular Posts

Watch "56% Say Tariffs Will Worsen the Housing Market" on YouTube

https://www.youtube.com/live/-D8d_E1Vf48?si=_V3GzeMdKmulwzNP
CP24: ‘Deeply disappointed’: Ontario ministers warn of rising housing costs in U.S. due to softwood lumber duties

https://www.cp24.com/news/2025/04/05/deeply-concerned-ontario-ministers-warn-of-rising-housing-costs-in-us-due-to-softwood-lumber-duties/ ...
Watch "Las Vegas' market just flipped." on YouTube

https://youtu.be/yxCacS0PPus?si=aLFVcMfdpG7dybWI
WPRI.com: Out-of-state residents now buying nearly 1 in 4 homes sold in Rhode Island

https://www.wpri.com/target-12/housing-crisis/out-of-state-residents-now-buying-nearly-1-in-4-homes-sold-in-rhode-island/

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